In the year 2000-2001 we have seen the DOTCOM bubble pop. These differences are significant (p < 0.05). There is also a reckoning. Please note that the posts on The Blogs are contributed by third parties. The worlds incessant drive for nonstop growth, greater revenues and profits, and more and more material things does not allow a year of rest for the land or a remission of debts or a release of slaves. Maybe nothing goes down on that day. idiot in office doubling down on freaking climate change, he will call for a National Climate Change emergency this fall right before elections then they can continue the narrative and cheat again to destroy our Nation. Though they tried to run from it, the Shemitah Effect eventually caught up to them and caused 70 years of banishment from their land! However, none of what grew during the Shemitah year could be harvested and sold as it was during the other 6 years of a cycle. Im afraid I succumbed to a momentary spasm of writer-envy. It is not surprising, therefore, that there are downturns in the market which occur outside of a Shemitah year. In this article I want to have a look at the Shemitah Cycle also known as the 7-year cycle. . In particular, we should seriously consider whether such a force really exists and if it is affecting the unfolding of world events in the last days. Dividends and income are included in the index returns. 1930-1931: The Great Depression, the worst financial crisis in human history. Leaving aside Cahans highly dubious theology, (since when did George Washington or the other Founding Fathers have a direct line to the divine?) In proportion to the extent of the years you shall increase its price, and in proportion to the fewness of the years you shall diminish its price, for it is a number of crops he is selling to you. 1916-1917 - 40% of the US stock market value wiped out. Is there an unseen force or a law of nature that God has designed into the world, which silently governs the rise and fall of economies and nations? Most people are familiar with the concept of the weekly Sabbath, which was given by God for man to rest one day out of every seven days, just as the Lord rested on the seventh day after the six days of creation (note: in the original language of Genesis relative to the creation, days = eons). 2007-2008 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Markets therefore adjust swiftly and efficiently, remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing, Israel Unfiltered: The future of meeting up in person, The Next Web, ChatGPT, and The Creator Economy, Netanyahu to make statement to nation as bipartisan MKs call for judicial compromise, As protests sweep nation, police use aggressive means to clear Tel Aviv rally, Gantz to PM: Talk now before we face civil war; Herzog: Country could fall to abyss, Israel should wipe out Palestinian town of Huwara, says senior minister Smotrich. SHEMITAH CYCLE AMTV 684K subscribers Subscribe 1.2K 17K views 1 year ago #AMTV. Shmita (Elul 29) started on September 14, 1966, and the market reached its low on October 7, 1966. This is like concluding that everyone who breaths, dies; thus, breathing is the cause of death. Looks like things are right on target. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. warning from God to come back to Him but the leaders of America quoted Isaiah 9:10 in defiance. United States enters WWI. Shemitah, the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, has several times in the past brought immense financial hardships to the world. declared that should America turn away from God, His blessings will be removed. Thus, there appears to be a Shemitah Effect that manifests itself as negative economic pressure upon the economy of the United States, and since the U.S. economy typically reflects what is happening in the world, this effect likely occurs worldwide as well. Callers from the UK can dial +44 20 3795-9972. How about a rest that lasts 12 months?. Through this and other laws, the Lord thus encouraged the people not to go into debt at all; however, if they did take a loan from another one of their Jewish brothers out of necessity, then the remaining unpaid debt would have to be forgiven at the end of the Shemitah year without requiring further payments or obligations. Theres been a major financial disruption in seven of the eight Shmita years dating back to 1966: Our institutional research publication Perception for the Professional is sought after by the top institutional managers in the industry. German, Austro-Hungarian, The shmita year, which we have just begun has called forth a remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing that aims to recover the values of the shmita and implement them in relevant and creative ways. Thus, the 12 tribes of Israel and the families owning property within their territorial regions would never completely lose their land to another family or tribe. The stock market follows and amplifies the cycle. Introducing shmita, the Torah suggests that there is a seven year cycle of economic activity: Six years shall you sow your land and gather in your yield; but in the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow. (Exodus 23) Then immediately it repeats the idea of Shabbat: Six days you shall do you work, but on the seventh day you shall cease from labor. If Israel followed God in these things, then the Shemitah would bring a great benefit and blessing; essentially providing for each farming family a full year off every seven years from cultivating, planting, and harvesting. Buy the Roomer Sell the news !Why stocks will crash 50% Here is why: watch the video!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CzYwS-KXSNcFollow us on TikTok, IG or Twitter for daily content!TikTokhttps://www.tiktok.com/@bitcoinadvizeInstagramhttps://www.instagram.com/bitcoinadviTwitterhttps://twitter.com/BTCadvizersFollow My Personal Instagram Here: For Weekly Market Updates! and yearsthe cycle of seven weeks (7x7) points to the 50th day - Pentecost. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. Well, if we compare the Shemitah years with the financial markets we can see a very interesting correlation. His greenhouse follows specific guidelines that certify the produce kosher for the sabbatical year called shmita in Hebrew, that began last month on the Jewish New Year, and extends through the fall of 2015. Personally, this series was an eye-opener. The easiest thing is to follow the crowd or ask a financial advisor. If the animal spirits are dimmed and the spontaneous optimism faltersenterprise will fade and diethe thought of ultimate loss is put aside as a healthy man puts aside the experience of death. This means, unfortunately that slumps and depressions are exaggerated in degree. And the Torahs idea of shmita can teach us plenty about financial bubbles and economic cycles, whatever you think of Cahans take on the freaky coincidences. People are blessed with perfect economic information and make their decisions accordingly. Shmita years are behind the rise and fall of America. All of these downturns actually occurred during the Shemitah year or within a few months thereafter (i.e., in its wake). Seeing that the Shemitah Effect includes a year-long event related to the cessation of the agricultural market and an end-of-year effect related to the remission of debt (end-of-year in the Jewish Civil Calendar being in the September-October time frame in the Gregorian Calendar), if there exists any broader impact on the worlds economy this might be reflected in economic downturns during and immediately after these periods. Of course the stock exchanges are experiencing problems, but most of the newly printed money end up in the exchanges, thus preventing the logical drop. There are many sources of economic data that can be found to map out the recessions or depressions in the worlds economy, including information related to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as well as the booms and busts in the stock markets or bond markets, the increases and decreases in currency values, or the rise and fall of unemployment. One method of looking at a potential Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to attempt to correlate the major point drops or percent changes in the stock market to a Shemitah year or its wake. 179 views Sep 16, 2022 7 Dislike Share Bitcoin Advizers 346 subscribers Buy the Roomer Sell the news ! "Who say in pride and arrogance of heart: The bricks have fallen down, but we will rebuild with Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. Table 1. In addition, the Year of Jubilee would bring a release of property throughout all of Israel. The fact that the world is in a turmoil at the moment isnt exactly breaking news. When ancient Israel uttered these prideful words God brought judgment upon the To research the Shemitah Effect, we need only to look at the historical economic trends that have occurred over the last century or so and see if major downturns correlate to Shemitah years. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost . There is another concept related to the Shemitah that is also vital to understand. In addition, although the Shemitah of 1930-1931 occurred right in the middle of the long stock market slide at the beginning of the Great Depression, the Shemitah year did not occur during the Dows initial severe collapse during the fall of 1929. In some cases, the rate increased during the Shemitah, while in other cases the increase occurred after the Shemitah year was over (in its wake). hewn stones." Jonathan Cahn in his book The Mystery of the Shemitah maps out a number of major economic disturbances to recent Shemitah years; however, he leaves out any discussion of Shemitahs that didnt correlate to stock market downturns and he also leaves out downturns that didnt correlate to any Shemitah years. 1901-1902 Shmita Year - 46% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. The implication is that just as there is a rhythm to the work week whereby activity needs to be punctuated by periods of rest, so too, a parallel rhythm pertains over a seven year cycle; we need periods of rest and renewal. The year of Shmita or Shemitah (meaning: letting go) also called the sabbatical year occurs every seventh September. The conference call can be accessed live over the phone by dialing (412) 317-6346 or (844) 204-8586 from the U.S. Callers from Brazil can dial +55 11 3181-8565. Major crashes in the stock market are correlated with the Shemitah years. whoah this blog is wonderful i love reading your articles. To follow these laws, the people had to have a strong faith in God that He would get them through the years of no planting, no harvesting, and all this combined with the major economic releases of debt and property. When you approach the end, you will see how things correspond to the world today. Thus, these are the Shemitah years which have occurred since the early 1900s: Shemitah Years2014-20152007-20082000-20011993-19941986-19871979-19801972-19731965-19661958-19591951-19521944-19451937-19381930-19311923-19241916-19171909-19101902-1903. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Press J to jump to the feed. For the non-Shmita years, the average return is 9.0% (16.5%), but for the Shmita years, it is an average loss of -2.4% (22.7). This was before the war in Ukraine and the exponential price growth of several crucial commodities, which are all said to be consequences of the war. Stocks crash, the financial system collapses, and unemployment rises rapidly, oftentimes taking years to recover. Here is the crazy thing, the actual returns are different for the Shmita years. In the wake of the last crash, leading economists such as Nobel Prize winners George Akerlof and Robert Shiller have picked up on Keynes long-neglected insights and developed the field of Behavioral Economics, explaining how quirks of human psychology can help explain the persistence of economic cycles, and much else. The Shmita (judgment) and America converged on September 11, 2001 when the Let's take a look at the incredibly accurate timing of the Shmita Year as it impacts modern history in Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! Thus, although the economic busts that he relates to Shemitahs really did occur, the book leaves us with an incomplete picture of the actual statistical significance of the phenomenon. They are intended to provide general comparative information to help an individual client or prospective client in deciding whether the performance of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies meet, or continue to meet, his/her investment objective(s). Downturns occur for many more reasons than a Shemitah Effect. Keep up the good work! Cahn subsequently went on to publish a second book in 2014 that was exclusively related to the Shemitah Effect, entitled The Mystery of the Shemitah. Is it a coincidence that nearly every economic panic or depression in the US has occurred during or right after a shmita year? Economic theory and policy struggle to understand and effectively address the business cycle. So what are we to conclude? Towers symbolize a nation's power and pridethis connection can be seen from the very first A book that I picked off the shelf last month in Hudsons News at Union Station in Washington DC is rather confident that it will. Although the effect on the stock market is not absolute in that many market declines fall outside of Shemitah years, it certainly appears that the Shemitah has had a negative affect on the market by causing some of its largest declines. The seventh year is meant to be a reset, a return to the real values that underpin our increasingly frantic efforts. Another way of analyzing the Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to look at the 20 largest point drops in the stock market during single day crashes. The S&P 500 has posted a mild recovery since its bear market lows in mid-2022, when it fell more than 25% from its high. Were now less than a month away from the end of the current shemita as well as the current yubilee-year. Jubilee is based on letting the land rest every 7th year, known as the Shmita year. How about a rest that lasts 12 months? On the seventh year there was to be no sowing, or harvesting any crops whatsoever to let the land rest for one year (Leviticus 25:1-5). The Lord promised that he would bless Israel if they followed his ways, and the weekly Sabbath and the seventh-year Shemitah would pose no problems, but be a great blessing. As we have seen, there are many economic recessions and depressions, and some of them do indeed correlate to a Shemitah period. When the United States is consumed by greed and ignores these biblical. Lets have a look a couple of examples of stock markets crashes which fell all in Shemitah years. hearts with the times and feast dates that have been set down by God. Enrol now and become a profitable trader! There's been a major financial disruption in seven of the eight Shmita years dating back to 1966: Read more According to research funded by the best trading app around - it saw stock markets around the world collapse, wiping out trillions of dollars from Wall Street to Shanghai. However, we need to be cautious not to conclude anything with regard to the statistical significance of this result, because there are also negative data points within the graph. Time Cycles Got It Right; What Do They Say Now? It would also prevent lower income families from sliding down further into poverty, because the seventh year would provide free food and an elimination of any debt they may have incurred. I call this proposition the Shemitah Effect, after a Biblical law and the Jewish name that is used to describe it. The US has inherited the Biblical blessings and curses. The beginning of the Jubilee year would be marked by the sounding of a rams horn on the Day of Atonement (Yom Kippur). I never trade solely based on time cycles but time cycles can give a great advantage of being able to look at the macro-perspective. YOU NEED TO DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS! In the year 2014-2015 the stock market is moving sideways and slows down within the established uptrend. Similarly, in more recent times, the Shemitah years of 2000-2001, 2007-2008 and 2014-2015 correlated almost perfectly to major market downturns, but there was a lack of correlation to the market declines that occurred in the years between them. Think about this. An excellent set of concise economic graphs to use for this purpose can be found at stockcharts.com, which also allows the creation of custom graphs with any desired economic data. name for ourselves" Genesis 11:4. God's calendar (opposite) intersects with two of our Gregorian years. The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. February 27, 2023 12:09 pm EST. The above methods of correlating the Shemitah years or their wake to an observed drop in an economic indicator do not represent the optimal way of showing that a Shemitah Effect is really occurring. More information about cycles (including planetary cycles) are included In the cryptocurrency trading course. We are built to strive and struggle, to invest and innovate, to conceive and create for periods of around six years. When you are sowing the eighth year, you can still eat old things from the crop, eating the old until the ninth year when its crop comes in.. This information couldve been doctored or misrepresented by the internet. But I do believe in a God who communicates with us through the Torah. One sharp observer who realized that this was not how things worked in the real world was the British economist John Maynard Keynes. 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